The MMAFORECASTER team utilizes an integrated prediction tool to produce its recommended and overall picks for a fight card. The main goal is to choose winners and identify the betting lines with the most value.

Our integrated prediction tool is a linear combination of a quantitative model and subsets of the market model. The solutions (our picks) are based on combining quantitative results which are multivariate that people cannot perceive and market opinions that a quantitative model alone could not measure - together it results in a powerful and integrated predictive tool, proven highly effective.

The development effort has been on-going since 2005 when the first quantitative math model was built. We spent two years developing a database from prior relevant years of fighting events. Over 1,000 fights were treated like observations and independent experiments. We have identified statistically significant variables from this population. Over time we refined our approach to identify and correct for trends and made alterations to our coefficients when necessary. We monitor and track these changes because MMA is an evolving sport.

The market model was developed in 2007 as technology and market receptivity to online social programs increased. The tool has been installed by over 90,000 users who place picks on events. We track, maintain and analyze these users individual picks and assign them to specific segments. Over time the smartest, most consistent pickers to each respective segment have vetted themselves out and we can measure and weight their opinions. They have proven to be significant in determining an outcome and have allowed us to tap into the human element.

The tool has proven itself highly predictive and resulted in a strong return on investment (more on our performance). If you purchased our report and placed wagers on our recommended picks you would have paid for the subscription many times over!

The quantitative model hypothesizes functions that take advantage of behavioral trends to determine probabilistic outcomes. We use statistical methods to determine specific measurements for model parameters.

We have maintained large databases to find the most significant statistics and interactions among variables. Our model than takes into account compensated statistics based on a fighter's history. Monte-Carlo simulations are than run to derive the most reasonable outcome and to identify the corresponding risk. The methods are constantly improving, as we expand our information and add to our methodology.

The Market Model is another marvel of modern technology. We have a database of over 90,000 participants surveyed on a per-fight basis with an overall database on millions of data points. Through our market surveys and monitoring over time we have successfully identified the wagering characteristics of the individuals and have been able to segment our population to represent several key metrics including top pickers, hot pickers, against the spread pickers and all pickers. The forecast accuracy of these metrics, individually and together, has been tracked, measured and is used in unison with our quantitative model.

These segments allow us to understand where specific types of bettors are placing wagers and the surveying allows us to know the psychology behind each line as well as having access to information from hundreds of the world's foremost sports gamers.

After a thorough understanding of the picking process is undertaken, the key to generating a significant rate of return lay in money management. We currently use star system to identify to our clients the key wagers to make on an event.

To establish your portfolio, you need to look 1 year out and come to a number that you are willing to wager - then set aside this amount and follow our system. We provide services where we can help our clients establish a best practices system for moving forward.